The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Paperback)Nassim Nicholas Taleb (author)
- In stock online
Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
Number of pages: 480
Weight: 348 g
Dimensions: 198 x 129 x 27 mm
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' - Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
'Funny, quirky and thought-provoking ... confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot' - John Cornwell, Sunday Times
'Idiosyncratically brilliant' - Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph
'Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling' Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics'Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling' - Freakonomics
'An idiosyncratically brilliant new book' - Sunday Telegraph
'A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected' - Guardian
'Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling' - Financial Times
'Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot' - Sunday Times
'In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point' - Time