The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Paperback)
  • The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Paperback)

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Paperback)

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Paperback 480 Pages
Published: 28/02/2008
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Waterstones Says

Opinionated, curious and hugely entertaining, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is a masterful exploration of the way random events shape our lives in remarkable ways. Considering a myriad of examples of our interaction with the natural world, technology and each other, Taleb reveals the loopholes in the human obsession to predict everything. In wild and wonderful ways, The Black Swan shows how embracing ambivalence can sometimes be just what we need.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
ISBN: 9780141034591
Number of pages: 480
Weight: 352 g
Dimensions: 198 x 129 x 27 mm


A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected - Guardian

Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling - Financial Times

It has altered modern thinking - The Times

Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot - Sunday Times

The Black Swan changed my view of how the world works - Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow

Great fun... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling - Stephen J. Dubner, co-author of Freakonomics

The most prophetic voice of all - GQ

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“There is a way”

I've read this book in Russian a year ago. It shocked me so much that I decided to reread it again.
Taleb let your mind work other way that it use to and opens such a new look on life, happens, chance and dreams.

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