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Cambridge Studies in Public Opinion and Political Psychology: The Amateur Strategist: Intuitive Deterrence Theories and the Politics of the Nuclear Arms Race (Hardback)
  • Cambridge Studies in Public Opinion and Political Psychology: The Amateur Strategist: Intuitive Deterrence Theories and the Politics of the Nuclear Arms Race (Hardback)
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Cambridge Studies in Public Opinion and Political Psychology: The Amateur Strategist: Intuitive Deterrence Theories and the Politics of the Nuclear Arms Race (Hardback)

(author), (series editor), (series editor)
£62.00
Hardback 330 Pages / Published: 25/08/1995
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This book, first published in 1995, explores how the everyday person reasons about nuclear strategy. James DeNardo's data reveals surprising patterns of thinking on basic issues from SDI, arms control, and proliferation to the end of the Cold War. The book describes a fascinating cast of players, including 'Nice Hawks' like Ronald Reagan, who wanted to give SDI to the Russians, and the 'NIFFs,' whose procurement rule, expressed simply, was: 'If they have it, we don't want it, but they don't have it, we should get it.' To explain his remarkable evidence, Professor DeNardo presents an innovative theory of intuitive deterrence reasoning. He then confronts the theory with data from professional nuclear strategists. His discovery that the amateur's strategic reasoning defies all conventional theories lays the groundwork for a new understanding of national security politics. His demonstration that professional strategists reason like novices - that we are all Amateur Strategists - challenges the intellectual foundations of modern deterrence theory, public opinion studies, and game theory.

Publisher: Cambridge University Press
ISBN: 9780521481212
Number of pages: 330
Weight: 610 g
Dimensions: 229 x 152 x 19 mm


MEDIA REVIEWS
'This unusual book combines security studies, game theory, psychology, political sciences and statistical analysis in an investigation of preferences regarding American polity for Nuclear weapons. ... The wide scope of the material in this book is supported by extensive references to current literature.' Defence Analysis
"The Amateur Strategist is an important and intriguing book. DeNardo breaks new ground in his reconceptualization of opinion formulation and expression; this is a major achievement." Robert Jervis, Columbia University
"This is one of the most interesting contributions to nuclear deterrence theory that I have read in a long time. It is a fascinating study of how real people--experts and nonexperts--think about nuclear deterrence and arms control. The similarities and differences between expert and nonexpert opinion are very provocative." Robert Powell. University of California, Berkeley
"Novice opinions on strategic weapon systems range so widely as to seemingly defy logical explanation. More surprisingly, as DeNardo shows, experts' opinions are subject to similar dispersion....The book has important implications for the analysis of public opinion, and more broadly deepens our understanding of ways in which 'bounded rationality' generates policy preferences." Jack Hirshleifer, University of California. Los Angeles

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