Open Horizons: Three Scenarios for 2020 (the 1998 Report from the Chatham House Forum) - Chatham House Forum (Mixed media product)
  • Open Horizons: Three Scenarios for 2020 (the 1998 Report from the Chatham House Forum) - Chatham House Forum (Mixed media product)

Open Horizons: Three Scenarios for 2020 (the 1998 Report from the Chatham House Forum) - Chatham House Forum (Mixed media product)

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Mixed media product Published: 01/12/1998
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The 1998 report condenses three years' work into an extensive executive summary and a CD-ROM with animated presentations, which is expected to serve as the basis for a number of UK state initiatives. The report offers three scenarios which are relevant to a wide range of interests. "Atlantic Storm" sees economic malfunction in Europe and consequent unilteralism in the United States, leading, by 2010, to a sharp cooling of relations among major powers and uncertainty elsewhere. The "Market Quickstep" sees the adoption of uniform economic prescriptions, but without corresponding social or institutional evolution. This leads to a fragmentation of decision-making to supra- and subnational levels. Finally, "Wise Councils" - an aspirational though competitive scenario - sees marked changes in the ways in which we organize ourselves. At the level of the individual, "navigation" becomes the key; companies become focused upon knowledge management; while the state finds a range of new coordinating roles. The CD-ROM, with voice-over commentary, explores unfolding trends as well as methodological guides for changing management.

Publisher: Royal Institute of International Affairs
ISBN: 9781862030947

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