• Sign In
  • Help
  • My Basket0
Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts (Hardback)
  • Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts (Hardback)
zoom

Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts (Hardback)

(author)
£27.99
Hardback 400 Pages / Published: 20/02/2015
  • We can order this

Usually despatched within 1 week

  • This item has been added to your basket

Check Marketplace availability

A practical guide to understanding economic forecasts In Inside the Crystal Ball: How to Make and Use Forecasts, UBS Chief U.S. Economist Maury Harris helps readers improve their own forecasting abilities by examining the elements and processes that characterize successful and failed forecasts. The book: *Provides insights from Maury Harris, named among Bloomberg's 50 Most Influential People in Global Finance. *Demonstrates "best practices" in the assembly and evaluation of forecasts. Harris walks readers through the real-life steps he and other successful forecasters take in preparing their projections. These valuable procedures can help forecast users evaluate forecasts and forecasters as inputs for making their own specific business and investment decisions. *Emphasizes the critical role of judgment in improving projections derived from purely statistical methodologies. Harris explores the prerequisites for sound forecasting judgment a good sense of history and an understanding of contemporary theoretical frameworks in readable and illuminating detail. *Addresses everyday forecasting issues, including the credibility of government statistics and analyses, fickle consumers, and volatile business spirits. Harris also offers procedural guidelines for special circumstances, such as natural disasters, terrorist threats, gyrating oil and stock prices, and international economic crises. *Evaluates major contemporary forecasting issues including the now commonplace hypothesis of sustained economic sluggishness, possible inflation outcomes in an environment of falling unemployment, and projecting interest rates when central banks implement unprecedented low interest rate and quantitative easing (QE) policies. *Brings to life Harris's own experiences and those of other leading economists in his almost four-decade career as a professional economist and forecaster. Dr. Harris presents his personal recipes for long-term credibility and commercial success to anyone offering advice about the future.

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc
ISBN: 9781118865071
Number of pages: 400
Weight: 604 g
Dimensions: 236 x 155 x 33 mm

You may also be interested in...

Realeconomik
Added to basket
£17.00
Paperback
2020 Vision
Added to basket
£20.00
Hardback
The Next 100 Years
Added to basket
When the Money Runs Out
Added to basket
Losing Control
Added to basket
£10.99
Paperback
Elliott Wave Principle
Added to basket
Economic Forecasting and Policy
Added to basket
The Economist: Megachange
Added to basket
The Economist: Megachange
Added to basket
Forecasting Economic Time Series
Added to basket
Losing Control
Added to basket
£25.00
Hardback
The Map and the Territory 2.0
Added to basket
Going South
Added to basket
£17.00
Paperback

Reviews

Please sign in to write a review

Your review has been submitted successfully.