Future Babble: How to Stop Worrying and Love the Unpredictable (Paperback)
  • Future Babble: How to Stop Worrying and Love the Unpredictable (Paperback)
zoom

Future Babble: How to Stop Worrying and Love the Unpredictable (Paperback)

(author)
1 Review Sign in to write a review
£15.99
Paperback 320 Pages
Published: 12/04/2012
  • In stock

Usually dispatched within 2-3 working days

  • This item has been added to your basket

In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. In 1908, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe; we all know how that turned out. Face it, experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet every day we ask them to predict the future – everythng from the weather to the likelihood of a terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it's so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts.

In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, Dan Gardner shows how seminal research by professor Philip Tetlock proved that the more famous a pundit is, the more likely they are to be right about as often as a stopped watch. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics to discover something quite reassuring: The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near.

Publisher: Ebury Publishing
ISBN: 9780753522370
Number of pages: 320
Weight: 219 g
Dimensions: 198 x 126 x 20 mm


MEDIA REVIEWS

Future Babble is genuinely arresting ... required reading for journalists, politicians, academics and anyone who listens to them. - Steven Pinker

A rare mix of superb scholarship and zesty prose. - Philip Tetlock, author of Expert Political Judgement and Mitchell Professor of Organizational Behavior, Hass School of Business, University of California

Hugely enjoyable - Financial Times

It is a tour de force, absolutely outstanding - Matt Ridley

This book should be required reading for America's intelligence agencies - Dylan Evans, The Guardian

You may also be interested in...

The Economist: Megachange
Added to basket
The Fourth Turning
Added to basket
Never in a Million Years
Added to basket
The Elephant And The Flea
Added to basket
Singing in the Fire
Added to basket
Who Owns The Future?
Added to basket
Mind Set!
Added to basket
£10.99
Paperback
Spillover
Added to basket
£12.99
Paperback
Time Matters
Added to basket
£36.00
Paperback
Makers
Added to basket
£15.99
Paperback
The Future
Added to basket
£11.99
Paperback
An Optimist's Tour of the Future
Added to basket
Diversity Explosion
Added to basket
The New New Thing
Added to basket
£10.99
Paperback
Our Final Century
Added to basket

“This is a fantastic read”

In this truly fascinating and often darkly funny book Gardner examines a wide range of expert predictions and finds them wanting. He shows how seminal research by Professor Philip Tetlock proved that the more famous... More

Paperback edition
Helpful? Upvote 41

Please sign in to write a review

Your review has been submitted successfully.

env: aptum
branch: