Radical Uncertainty: Decision-making for an unknowable future (Paperback)
  • Radical Uncertainty: Decision-making for an unknowable future (Paperback)
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Radical Uncertainty: Decision-making for an unknowable future (Paperback)

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Paperback 560 Pages / Published: 02/09/2021
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Waterstones Says

In turbulent times such as those we are currently living through, the uncertainty of the future can seem truly terrifying. Kay and King’s incisive, rigorously researched volume challenges the accepted strategies used to cope with uncertainty and utilises many cogent examples from history, philosophy and economics to argue for a radical new model for embracing the unknown.

When uncertainty is all around us, and the facts are not clear, how can we make good decisions?

We do not know what the future will hold, particularly in the midst of a crisis, but we must make decisions anyway. We regularly crave certainties which cannot exist and invent knowledge we cannot have, forgetting that humans are successful because we have adapted to an environment that we understand only imperfectly. Throughout history we have developed a variety of ways of coping with the radical uncertainty that defines our lives.

This incisive and eye-opening book draws on biography, history, mathematics, economics and philosophy to highlight the most successful - and most short-sighted - methods of dealing with an unknowable future. Ultimately, the authors argue, the prevalent method of our age falls short, giving us a false understanding of our power to make predictions, leading to many of the problems we experience today.

Tightly argued, provocative and written with wit and flair, Radical Uncertainty is at once an exploration of the limits of numbers and a celebration of human instinct and wisdom.

Publisher: Little, Brown Book Group
ISBN: 9780349143996
Number of pages: 560
Weight: 440 g
Dimensions: 190 x 126 x 36 mm


MEDIA REVIEWS

'A brilliant new book' - Daily Telegraph

'Well written . . . and often entertaining' - The Times

'A sparkling analysis' - Prospect

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“We know less than we think so a little humility instead of hubris might be a good idea”

This should be read by all those who make key decisions and even those of us who don't, not least because we don't usually know which are the key decisions, which is one of the key ideas in the book. I can... More

Hardback edition
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